Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jerry JeudyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Chiefs vs. Broncos
Right now, Jerry Jeudy’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Broncos are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- In this week’s contest, Jerry Jeudy is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.1 targets.
- Jerry Jeudy has totaled a whopping 88.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- Jerry Jeudy places in the 84th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 57.2 figure this year.
- Jerry Jeudy’s 6.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a a noteworthy growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season’s 4.8% figure.
Cons
- Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by the projections to call just 62.0 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.8 plays per game.
- Jerry Jeudy’s 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a a substantial regression in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 63.0 mark.
- Jerry Jeudy’s pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, totaling a mere 8.11 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.43 rate last season.
- This year, the stout Chiefs defense has conceded a feeble 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-best rate in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
