NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Ryan TannehillPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Titans vs. Ravens
Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 207.5 yards (-101/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 207.5 (-135) after it opened @ 208.5 (-117).
Pros
- The model projects the Tennessee Titans offensive gameplan to lean 4.0% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
- This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
- The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
Cons
- At the present time, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (57.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans.
- The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
- Ryan Tannehill has attempted just 28.7 throws per game this year, ranking in the 24th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
- The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
227
Passing Yards
227
Passing Yards
