Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Jets vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 233.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 233.5 (-129) after it opened @ 221.5 (-117).
Pros
- With regard to a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.40 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Eagles as the 6th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
- The the Eagles offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- The New York Jets defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 3rd-most in football.
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
- The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- In this game, Jalen Hurts is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.7.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
- This year, the strong New York Jets defense has yielded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a feeble 6.9 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
224
Passing Yards
224
Passing Yards
