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Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

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Jalen Hurts

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 6

Jets vs. Eagles

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 233.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 233.5 (-129) after it opened @ 221.5 (-117).

Pros

  • With regard to a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.40 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Eagles as the 6th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
  • The the Eagles offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The New York Jets defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 3rd-most in football.
Cons

  • A rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • In this game, Jalen Hurts is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.7.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
  • This year, the strong New York Jets defense has yielded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a feeble 6.9 yards.

Projection
THE BLITZ
224
Passing Yards

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