Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Rams vs. Eagles
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-133/-103).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 64.5 (-103) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- A rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- Opposing offenses have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year, averaging 26.21 seconds per play.
- Our trusted projections expect D’Andre Swift to earn 13.4 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
- D’Andre Swift has been a more integral piece of his team’s rushing attack this season (45.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).
- D’Andre Swift’s 91.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a a significant boost in his rushing ability over last season’s 38.0 rate.
Cons
- Los Angeles defensive ends project as the 4th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards
60
Rushing Yards
