Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 22
Chiefs vs. 49ers
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 90.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see just 127.5 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.
- In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.9 carries.
- When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the San Francisco 49ers profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.
- Christian McCaffrey’s 95.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a noteable boost in his running proficiency over last year’s 68.0 rate.
- Christian McCaffrey’s 5.5 adjusted yards per carry this season marks a noteable gain in his running ability over last season’s 4.8 figure.
Cons
- The 49ers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.1 plays per game.
- The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop.
- Christian McCaffrey’s 83.6% Snap% this year illustrates a remarkable progression in his offensive utilization over last year’s 71.5% rate.
Projection
THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards
84
Rushing Yards
