NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 22
Chiefs vs. 49ers
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 67.5 (-110).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.5% pass rate.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to have just 127.5 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
- The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- In this week’s contest, Rashee Rice is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 9.8 targets.
- With a remarkable 67.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (88th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice places as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
Cons
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 129.0) to WRs this year.
- This year, the stout 49ers defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a feeble 7.5 yards.
- As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards
85
Receiving Yards
