Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 21
49ers vs. Lions
Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).
Pros
- With an exceptional rate of 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (91st percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.
- With an outstanding rate of 5.38 adjusted yards per carry (98th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs places among the leading running backs in the league this year.
- With a remarkable tally of 3.08 yards after contact (76th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the powerful running backs in the league this year.
Cons
- This game’s spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Lions, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 36.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- The predictive model expects the Lions to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Rushing Yards
46
Rushing Yards
