Week 21 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards

Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).

Pros

With an exceptional rate of 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (91st percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.
With an outstanding rate of 5.38 adjusted yards per carry (98th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs places among the leading running backs in the league this year.
With a remarkable tally of 3.08 yards after contact (76th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the powerful running backs in the league this year.

Cons

This game’s spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Lions, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 36.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Lions to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
46
Rushing Yards