Week 21 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Zay Flowers

Zay FlowersReceiving Yards

Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).

Pros

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Zay Flowers has run a route on 91.5% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to garner 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Zay Flowers has been responsible for a monstrous 23.4% of his team’s air yards this year: 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Zay Flowers ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 51.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

Cons

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in football.
This year, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a feeble 108.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in the league.
This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 7.3 yards.

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards