NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 21
49ers vs. Lions
Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-114).
Pros
- This game’s spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Lions, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
- In this contest, Sam LaPorta is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 90th percentile among TEs with 7.8 targets.
- Sam LaPorta rates as one of the top TEs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 49.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Lions to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- Sam LaPorta checks in as one of the weakest tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 19th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards
55
Receiving Yards
