Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jared GoffPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 21
49ers vs. Lions
Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 260.5 (-120) after it opened @ 250.5 (-120).
Pros
- This game’s spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Lions, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
- In logging a massive 37.1 pass attempts per game this year, Jared Goff slots in among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (89th percentile) by this measure.
- With a stellar tally of 270.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Jared Goff has been among the top passers in football this year.
- With a terrific 7.59 adjusted yards-per-target (81st percentile) this year, Jared Goff stands as one of the most effective passers in the league.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Lions to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
269
Passing Yards
269
Passing Yards
