Week 20 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Zay Flowers

Zay FlowersReceiving Yards

Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-131) after it opened @ 51.5 (-117).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 137.0 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
With a remarkable 91.8% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
The model projects Zay Flowers to total 7.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Zay Flowers profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 52.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.
The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (154.0) versus wide receivers this year.

Cons

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their normal approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Houston cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards