NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tucker KraftReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 20
49ers vs. Packers
Right now, Tucker Kraft’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-125) after it opened @ 25.5 (-115).
Pros
- At a -10-point disadvantage, the Packers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
- Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
- With a remarkable 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft ranks among the best pass-game tight ends in football.
- Tucker Kraft checks in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in an impressive 79.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.
- Tucker Kraft checks in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an impressive 9.19 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
- This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has given up a paltry 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-best in the NFL.
- This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a measly 6.7 yards.
- As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
