Week 20 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Romeo Doubs

Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards

Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-110) after it opened @ 36.5 (-114).

Pros

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Packers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect Romeo Doubs to notch 5.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.
After accruing 48.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has produced significantly more this year, now sitting at 73.0 per game.
Romeo Doubs’s 48.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last year’s 36.0 figure.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
This year, the daunting 49ers defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.5 yards.
The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.57 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in the league.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards