NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 20
49ers vs. Packers
Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-110) after it opened @ 36.5 (-114).
Pros
- At a -10-point disadvantage, the Packers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
- Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
- Our trusted projections expect Romeo Doubs to notch 5.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- After accruing 48.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has produced significantly more this year, now sitting at 73.0 per game.
- Romeo Doubs’s 48.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last year’s 36.0 figure.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
- This year, the daunting 49ers defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.5 yards.
- The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.57 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in the league.
- As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards
42
Receiving Yards
