Week 20 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashee Rice

Rashee RiceReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (-110) after it opened @ 75.5 (-114).

Pros

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their plays: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast Rashee Rice to total 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
While Rashee Rice has been responsible for 18.7% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Kansas City’s passing attack this week at 27.0%.
The Kansas City O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
With a remarkable 68.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (89th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice ranks as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the league.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.
The Bills pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
The Buffalo cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards