Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Cade OttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 20
Lions vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 31.5 (-125) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).
Pros
- A passing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
- Cade Otton’s 88.9% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates a substantial growth in his pass game workload over last season’s 63.9% figure.
- The projections expect Cade Otton to notch 5.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among TEs.
- After accruing 23.0 air yards per game last season, Cade Otton has produced significantly more this season, currently averaging 30.0 per game.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Cade Otton ranks as one of the weakest TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
- This year, the fierce Lions defense has allowed a feeble 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards
34
Receiving Yards
