NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Lamar JacksonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 20
Ravens vs. Texans
Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 229.5 yards (-120/-109).
The public has bet the OVER up to 229.5 (-120) after it opened @ 224.5 (-114).
Pros
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 137.0 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
- As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
- Lamar Jackson’s 226.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year conveys a remarkable gain in his passing skills over last year’s 191.0 mark.
- Lamar Jackson’s 68.0% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable progression in his passing accuracy over last season’s 62.9% rate.
- This year, the shaky Houston Texans defense has given up a massive 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.
Cons
- With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their normal approach.
- Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- In this week’s contest, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the model to have the 2nd-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.6.
- The Houston cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
221
Passing Yards
221
Passing Yards
