NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Josh AllenPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 20
Bills vs. Chiefs
Right now, Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is set at 228.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 228.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-110).
Pros
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 131.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
- The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
- Josh Allen has been one of the top quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 258.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
- Josh Allen’s 67.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects an impressive progression in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 64.2% mark.
- With a terrific 7.63 adjusted yards-per-target (81st percentile) this year, Josh Allen stands among the best per-play passers in the league.
Cons
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
- Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 34.2 passes this week, on average: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.7 per game) this year.
- This year, the tough Chiefs defense has conceded a meager 178.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-fewest in football.
- The Chiefs pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.89 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
231
Passing Yards
231
Passing Yards
