Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jordan LovePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 20
49ers vs. Packers
Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 255.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 255.5 (-115) after it opened @ 248.5 (-115).
Pros
- At a -10-point disadvantage, the Packers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
- Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
- This year, the formidable San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a mere 6.9 yards.
- This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a paltry 4.3 YAC.
- As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
236
Passing Yards
236
Passing Yards
