Week 20 Player Props: Passing Yards for C.J. Stroud

C.J. StroudPassing Yards

Right now, C.J. Stroud’s passing yards prop is set at 236.5 yards (-135/-101).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 236.5 (-101) after it opened @ 244.5 (-117).

O/U 236.5
-115/-115

O/U 235.5
-110/-110

O/U 236.5
-135/-101

O/U 236.5
-115/-115

Pros

This week’s line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Texans, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: most in the league.
With an outstanding tally of 255.0 adjusted passing yards per game (79th percentile), C.J. Stroud places as one of the leading QBs in football this year.
With a fantastic 7.84 adjusted yards-per-target (90th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the best per-play passers in the league.

Cons

This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a meager 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, conceding 6.41 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.
The Ravens safeties profile as the best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards