Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 95.5 yards (-145/+106).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 95.5 (-145) after it opened @ 93.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Cooper Kupp has run a route on 97.1% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to notch 12.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among WRs.

Cons

The Rams are a big 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 61.4 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Los Angeles Rams have utilized play action on a measly 21.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

Projection

THE BLITZ
117
Receiving Yards