Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Lions vs. Rams
Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-132/+102).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 79.5 (+102) after it opened @ 84.5 (-115).
Pros
- At the present time, the 10th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Rams.
- The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to total 18.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Cons
- At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
- The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
87
Rushing Yards
87
Rushing Yards
