Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jerome FordRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Texans vs. Browns
Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (+104/-134).
The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (+104) after it opened @ 43.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 70.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
- The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
Cons
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to run on 36.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards
58
Rushing Yards
