Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
James CookRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Bills vs. Steelers
Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 64.5 (-114) after it opened @ 65.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Bills are a massive 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to run on 47.7% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
- The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Cons
- The model projects the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Buffalo offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards
67
Rushing Yards
