Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Lions vs. Rams
Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-129) after it opened @ 49.5 (-119).
Pros
- The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The Lions rank as the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.4% run rate.
- The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
- The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
- The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
Cons
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
