Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Tyreek HillReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Right now, Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards prop is set at 84.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 84.5 (-110) after it opened @ 86.5 (-114).
Pros
- At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are underdogs in this week’s game, implying more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
- The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.8% pass rate.
- In this contest, Tyreek Hill is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.2 targets.
Cons
- Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
- The Miami offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
88
Receiving Yards
88
Receiving Yards
