Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Lions vs. Rams
Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 28.5 (-110) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).
Pros
- At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- At the present time, the 10th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Rams.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The leading projections forecast Tyler Higbee to notch 4.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Cons
Projection
THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards
28
Receiving Yards
