Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-105).
Pros
- Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the league (70.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 132.0 total plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
- The projections expect Rashee Rice to total 9.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Chiefs are a 4.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher run volume.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards
79
Receiving Yards
