Week 19 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Puka Nacua

Puka NacuaReceiving Yards

Right now, Puka Nacua’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-120) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).

Pros

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Rams.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this contest, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the model to finish in the 94th percentile among WRs with 10.2 targets.

Cons

Projection

THE BLITZ
96
Receiving Yards