Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Puka NacuaReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Lions vs. Rams
Right now, Puka Nacua’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-120) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).
Pros
- At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- At the present time, the 10th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Rams.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- In this contest, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the model to finish in the 94th percentile among WRs with 10.2 targets.
Cons
Projection
THE BLITZ
96
Receiving Yards
96
Receiving Yards
