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January 10, 2024

Week 19 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Durham Smythe from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Durham SmytheReceiving Yards

Right now, Durham Smythe’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-125) after it opened @ 20.5 (-120).

Pros

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are underdogs in this week’s game, implying more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.8% pass rate.

Cons

Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
The Miami offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards