Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Durham SmytheReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Right now, Durham Smythe’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-125) after it opened @ 20.5 (-120).
Pros
- At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are underdogs in this week’s game, implying more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
- The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.8% pass rate.
Cons
- Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
- The Miami offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards
19
Receiving Yards
