Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
DeVonta SmithReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Buccaneers vs. Eagles
Right now, DeVonta Smith’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-145/+106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-145) after it opened @ 64.5 (-117).
Pros
- As far as a defense’s impact on pace, at 27.78 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.
- This week, DeVonta Smith is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
- When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the best in the league this year.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards
70
Receiving Yards
