Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Dalton KincaidReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Bills vs. Steelers
Right now, Dalton Kincaid’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-105) after it opened @ 35.5 (-125).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to earn 5.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
- The Buffalo offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Cons
- The Bills are a massive 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
