MLB Best Bets – Free (Wednesday 5/15)
Josh Gross
Dallas GoedertReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Buccaneers vs. Eagles
Right now, Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-140/+110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-140) after it opened @ 45.5 (-120).
Pros
- As far as a defense’s impact on pace, at 27.78 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.
- The leading projections forecast Dallas Goedert to total 6.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the best in the league this year.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards
50
Receiving Yards
