Week 19 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 280.5 yards (-129/-106).

The public has bet the OVER up to 280.5 (-129) after it opened @ 263.5 (-115).

Pros

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Rams.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.0 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

Cons

Projection

THE BLITZ
301
Passing Yards