Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Jordan LovePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Cowboys vs. Packers
Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 259.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 259.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-110).
Pros
- This week’s line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Packers, who are huge -7-point underdogs.
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 64.5% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
- The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
Cons
- Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are anticipated by the projection model to run just 63.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The Packers have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.8 plays per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
270
Passing Yards
270
Passing Yards
