NBA Best Bets of the Day (12/2)
Alex Christenson
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 19
Buccaneers vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 229.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 229.5 (-110) after it opened @ 220.5 (-110).
Pros
- As far as a defense’s impact on pace, at 27.78 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.
- When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the best in the league this year.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- The model projects the Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- In this game, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the model to have the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.4.
Projection
THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards
215
Passing Yards
