Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cam Akers from EV Insight

Cam AkersRushing Yards

Right now, Cam Akers’s rushing yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 72.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to accrue 19.2 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to be a much bigger part of his offense’s rushing attack this week (71.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.8% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in the NFL (153 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends rank as the 4th-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Cons

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup quarterback Baker Mayfield in this week’s game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Rams are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.3 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards