WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Cam AkersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Seahawks vs. Rams
Right now, Cam Akers’s rushing yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 72.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to accrue 19.2 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
- THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to be a much bigger part of his offense’s rushing attack this week (71.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.8% in games he has played).
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in the NFL (153 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends rank as the 4th-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
- The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
Cons
- The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup quarterback Baker Mayfield in this week’s game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Rams are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Rams have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.3 plays per game.
- The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards
84
Rushing Yards
