Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Chiefs vs. Bengals
Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Chiefs are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- This week, Isiah Pacheco is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.6 rush attempts.
- In regards to blocking for rushers (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the best in the league last year.
- Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (125 per game) against the Bengals defense this year.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 63.5 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards
71
Rushing Yards
