Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Isiah Pacheco from EV Insight

Isiah PachecoRushing Yards

Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-110).

Pros

The Chiefs are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
This week, Isiah Pacheco is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.6 rush attempts.
In regards to blocking for rushers (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the best in the league last year.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (125 per game) against the Bengals defense this year.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 63.5 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards