NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Breece HallRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Browns vs. Jets
Right now, Breece Hall’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 44.5 (-114) after it opened @ 48.5 (-114).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- In this contest, Breece Hall is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.9 carries.
- Breece Hall has received 54.9% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Breece Hall checks in as one of the leading running backs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.17 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Cons
- The Jets will be starting backup QB Trevor Siemian in this week’s game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog in this week’s game.
- The projections expect the Jets to be the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets grades out as the worst in the league last year.
- This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns run defense has yielded a feeble 96.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 8th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards
62
Rushing Yards
