Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Chase ClaypoolReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bears vs. Eagles
Right now, Chase Claypool’s receiving yards prop is set at 32.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 32.5 (-142) after it opened @ 33.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- Chase Claypool’s talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, averaging 13.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.21 mark last season.
- The Chicago Bears offensive line has given their quarterback 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Chicago Bears have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
- Chase Claypool has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (82.0 per game).
Projection
THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards
32
Receiving Yards
