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Week 1 DVOA NFL Picks

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Welcome to Week 1 of our DVOA-based picks for the 2024 NFL season!

This year, instead of picking every game against the spread, I’ll be concentrating on my best bets each week. Subscribers should check out my picks each week for the strongest spread and over/under picks based on DVOA.

Good luck to everyone in Week 1!

Pick No. 1: Texans -2.5 @ Colts

Our projections for the season still think that the public is overestimating the Colts based on their performance last year (DVOA not as impressive as win-loss record) and an expectation that Anthony Richardson will be good instead of what he truly is: a mystery.

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