Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
We’re in the final third of the NFL season, which is when I tend to perform my best in DFS. It hasn’t been my best year so far, to say the least, but I’ve often managed to have some mammoth runs post-Thanksgiving.
I’m not quite sure why that is, but I think it’s generally that the public eventually gives up or despises a few potentially high-ceiling players, and I am able to get a lot of leverage on them. If you were with us back in 2020, you’ll know I continuously played David Johnson to the point of it being a joke, and sure enough he had a mammoth game near the end of the season.
In any event, this final third of the season is extra special because we have our contest sims product available. I strongly encourage you to at least check them out and tinker with them. If you’re not used to using our optimizer, it will take a few minutes to get the hang of it, but it is fairly straightforward after.
I don’t take the ROIs as gospel, but I will frequently tinker with my hand builds to see what the contest sims seem to think my ROIs would be given the changes. I’m noticing I should probably be a little chalkier with some of my builds, especially if a core part of it is contrarian. Of course, it’s been the year of the chalk in a lot of ways, so that could explain a few things, but it’s worth keeping in mind.
As a reminder, I don’t update this article, but I do change my mind about players. Please check out “For the Milly” with Alex and me Sunday morning. I’ll also post any updates to core plays in the Discord as well as my exposures about an hour before kickoff.
Quarterback
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum. "Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis iste natus error sit voluptatem accusantium doloremque laudantium, totam rem aperiam, eaque ipsa quae ab illo inventore veritatis et quasi architecto beatae vitae dicta sunt explicabo. Nemo enim ipsam voluptatem quia voluptas sit aspernatur aut odit aut fugit, sed quia consequuntur magni dolores eos qui ratione voluptatem sequi nesciunt. Neque porro quisquam est, qui dolorem ipsum quia dolor sit amet, consectetur, adipisci velit, sed quia non numquam eius modi tempora incidunt ut labore et dolore magnam aliquam quaerat voluptatem.
