TwoGun’s Betting Picks for Week 15
Michael Cohen
We’re switching things up at FTN for the rest of the season, and my column will now be “10 under 10%” NFL DFS plays for the week. This really isn’t that different from my typical article since, I’m a fairly contrarian player anyways.
If you want to hear what I think about the chalk plays more on the “For the MIlly” show I do with Alex Blickle Sunday mornings. I also generally post my DraftKings exposures in the Discord, which will show my rough rostership positions, about an hour before lock. This is the only week of the year I won’t do that however, since I’ll only have two lineups.
This week is a unique week for me since I’m competing in the DraftKings championship. I only have two entries this year; I’ve had up to eight in the past. Each of these entries is essentially worth $75k and has a 1/200 shot at the grand prize of $2.5m.
I normally do anywhere from 15 to 40 or so lineups a week, but I can’t really bear the thought of doing a bunch of lineups worth much less money. If I do 20 lineups with 18 of them in smaller, normal GPPs and one of those lineups would have won the FFWC instead of the ones I used, I may jump off of something really tall (and keep in mind there’s a much, much higher chance that one of these other lineups would have won given how many more of them I would have had).
For sanity’s sake, I’m just playing two lineups this week, so my player universe will be smaller. I won’t be using all of the players in this article in my final two lineups, but these are the players I am certainly eyeing to try to include in those two lineups.
TwoGun’s 10 Under 10% for DFS Week 15
1. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Let’s start with the obvious. I’m not even sure he’ll stay under 10% because it makes far more sense than just “TwoGun is a fanboy of Nuk.” Hopkins has nine targets in each of the last two games and is cemented as the top WR on this team. This Cleveland team’s defense is just not what it used to be, and it gives up 13% fantasy points DVOA-wise to the WR1 position.
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