Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Most sports betting for the Super Bowl will revolve around the Chiefs and 49ers, but there’s an entire world of new NFL fans paying attention to Taylor Swift Super Bowl bets.
There may not be data analysis used to break down how to make these bets, but we’re here to round up the top bets for Swifties out there. Just something extra to root for on Super Bowl Sunday.
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Bets
DraftKings has an entire section of their Sportsbook named “For the Swifties.”
Most of the bets revolve around Swift-related numbers — like 22 or 13 or 15 — and Travis Kelce-related props.
Here is our breakdown of a few to keep an eye on.
Travis Kelce to Have 87+ Yards
Yes: +190
Travis Kelce battled injuries for much of the 2023-24 season, but he still managed to have some monster games. He topped 87 yards four times. That was in 19 starts, or just 21% of the games he played. He’s been very good throughout the playoffs but has still only managed to go over 80 yards in one of three games. At 21%, the FTN Betting Calculator says we would need the odds to be +375 or better to have some value here.
Any Quarter to Have 22+ Points Scored
Yes: +400
San Francisco has the fourth-best defensive DVOA. The Chiefs’ defensive DVOA is seventh. These are two very good defensive football teams. If this happens, it is most likely to happen in the fourth quarter. Asking for four scores in any quarter is a lot, but in a fourth quarter you could end up with three scores and a two-point conversion as well. It is not easy to get to 22 or more points in a quarter. It will be much tougher to do against a pair of the NFL’s top-tier defenses.
Travis Kelce to Have 0 Receptions, 49ers Win
Yes: +3000
If you are betting this prop, you are hoping for a Travis Kelce injury — if he plays, he is catching a pass. In fact, Kelce has caught at least three passes in every game he has played this season. He has 23 so far in this playoff run and is averaging nine targets per game over those three. Do not be that guy rooting for a Kelce injury and ruining whatever Super Bowl party you are attending.
