Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Caesars Sportsbook recently acquired William Hill, and their experience has improved at least tenfold since. William Hill was known for their speed to markets on prop betting and wide variety of options. They have great odds boosts every day. If you are looking for a new book or looking for a reason to move some of your action to Caesars, there certainly are plenty of them.
Every week, I’m bringing you three of my favorite bets currently available on Caesars Sportsbook.
Last week we went 2-1, bringing our season record to 7-5:
- W — Clyde Edwards-Helaire Over 57.5 Rushing Yards
- W — Amari Cooper Over 61.5 Receiving Yards
- L — Jaylen Waddle Over 3.5 Receptions
Here are three of my favorite props on Caesars Sportsbook for Week 5:
Justin Jefferson continues to shine at home
Longest reception over 26.5 yards, -115
Justin Jefferson has put up insane numbers at home, averaging 101.4 receiving yards and 0.9 touchdowns per game. He has played nine home games as a full-time player in his career and has had at least one reception of 27-plus yards in seven. He has a fantastic matchup to do it again, as the Lions are allowing 10.59 yards per attempt this season, a full yard higher than any individual quarterback is averaging this year. Jefferson runs his deep routes on the outside. On the right side of the field, the Lions are giving up 31.5 air yards per attempt and on the left side giving up 27.3 air yards per attempt. This is a dream scenario for needing a big play from Jefferson.
Jalen Hurts uses his legs again versus the Panthers
Over 7.5 rush attempts, +100
Jalen Hurts uses his legs both on designed plays and when the play breaks down. Even in games where the Eagles have gotten blown out this year, he has continued to use his legs. He has now started eight games in his career and has had eight or more rush attempts in seven of them. Simply put: We should not be getting plus money here and we should take advantage of it while we still can. 
Fireworks in Tampa between the Buccaneers and Dolphins
Over 48 points, -110
The over in this game is one of my favorite plays of the week. I got it in early in the week on the FTN Bet Tracker at 47.5, but still feel great about it at 48. This game features two teams that are top three in pace and the biggest pass-funnel defense in the NFL in the Buccaneers. The Bucs have allowed the most passing yards of any team in football and the Dolphins (+10) have thrown the ball on 71% of plays this year when trailing. Add to that the Buccaneers are missing two of their top three corners in Sean Murphy-Bunting and Carlton Davis and the Dolphins should be able to do enough damage to have this game go over. The last game the Bucs were sizeable home favorites they went over this number all by themselves and should pick apart a Dolphins defense that is bottom five in the league against the deep ball and has given up 27 or more points in three straight games.
