Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Caesars Sportsbook recently acquired William Hill, and their experience has improved at least tenfold since. William Hill was known for their speed to markets on prop betting and wide variety of options. They have great odds boosts every day and are running a promotion for Week 1 of the NFL season: Bet $100 on any NFL game this weekend and you get a free authentic NFL jersey. If you are looking for a new book or looking for a reason to move some of your action to Caesars, there certainly are plenty of them.
Every week I will give you three of my favorite player props currently available on Caesars Sportsbook.
Keenan Allen set to dominate Washington
Over 5.5 Receptions (-145)
This line has already climbed as high as -175 on DraftKings Sportsbook, and even that is still a good value. Last year, Keenan Allen was consistently lined at 6.5 receptions with similar juice — books must have forgotten how dominant he was with Justin Herbert at quarterback. Last year in games Herbert played and Allen made it out of the first quarter, he averaged 7.83 receptions per game. He runs a majority of his routes in the slot, which is the weakness of Washington’s defense. Star corners William Jackson and Kendall Fuller don’t venture in the slot — that is manned by Darryl Roberts, who allowed a 70% catch rate last year. Bet this one with confidence.
Tevin Coleman is the starting running back for the Jets
Over 30.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
I know it upsets fantasy players, but that doesn’t matter — Tevin Coleman projects to lead the way for the New York Jets to start the season. As short road dogs, the Jets and new offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur should be able to do what they want: establish the run. Coming from San Francisco, Coleman and LaFleur have a familiarity with his scheme, and he is expected to lead the way for the Jets. The Jets spent the offseason beefing up their offensive line and project to have one of the top run-blocking lines after adding Alijah Vera-Tucker and Morgan Moses in the offseason. From Derek Brown’s DFS game-by-game breakdown, “The Carolina Panthers offer a juicy matchup on the ground after ranking 26th in adjusted line yards and second-level yards allowed last season. This run defense also had the 11th lowest stuff rate (27.6%) and third-highest yards after contact per attempt allowed (3.04).”
One bonus bet on this game
Take advantage of the Zach Wilson odds boost to throw one touchdown. His line is set at 1.5, so these are great odds for the rookie quarterback to throw just one. Lined at -200 most places, take advantage of the +100.
Jalen Hurts to exploit Falcons with his legs
Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
I cannot recommend highly enough to join FTNBets, use the Bet Tracker, and turn on alerts so you know exactly when all of FTN are placing our bets and ensuring you get the best line. I got this early in the week at 39.5, and it has climbed all the way up to 48.5, but I still don’t think this is high enough. Last year, Jalen Hurts started and completed three games — in those three games, he finished with 106, 63 and 69 rushing yards and takes on a Falcons defense that allowed the fourth-most scramble yards to quarterbacks. Hurts is an electric athlete, built like a running back, and likes to run — look for him to take advantage of the Falcons on a fast track in the dome and go over this number.
