Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
This list features my favorite receivers with the most significant projected edges in their Sunday matchups, powered by our FTN WR/CB Matchup tool. Below each player writeup, I will list my favorite prop bets. You can use this data for bets, DFS and fantasy football lineups.
Nico Collins, WR, Houston Texans
99.9 Matchup Rating
After a five-week stint on the IR, Nico Collins is slated to return to the Texans’ offense Monday night against the Cowboys. Collins played in the season’s first five games and was on pace to have another career year. Through five games, Collins led the Texans in the target share (22%), receiving yards (567) and aDOT (12.0 yards). He has exceeded 70 receiving yards in 10 of his last 12 games, going over 100 yards in six. Monday, Collins will face a Cowboys defense that has allowed the third-highest yards per reception (12.6 YPC). Collins will be primarily covered by Trevon Diggs, who has allowed an 89.1 passer rating when targeted this season, and he’s allowing 11.6 yards per reception. Per the FTN StatsHub, the Cowboys have seen the fourth-highest deep throw rate in the league this season at (14.8%), and they’ve allowed three receivers to go for at least 100 yards. Collins has covered his longest reception in eight straight games, and I expect him and Stroud to keep that streak rolling Monday night.
- Nico Collins 70 Receiving Yards (-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Nico Collins 100 Receiving Yards ( 260, DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Nico Collins Longest Reception Over 25.5 Yards (-115, BetMGM)
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