Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
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By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots who could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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Similar to what has been provided in past weeks, here are three plays I will anchor my SuperDraft DFS lineups around. While there are typically five plays, I will provide three plays per week and add an “others to consider” section full of the players who round out the vast majority of my player pool.
This gives you the ability to lock in the key three and fill in around it. Below are my top three options for Wild Card Weekend’s six-game slate.
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals (vs. LV)
Score multiplier: 1.25x
Homefield advantage is something every team fights for as they approach the postseason, and the Bengals were fortunate enough to get exactly that for their Wild Card game against the Raiders. If anyone should be excited about that, it’s Burrow, whose home/road splits this season are downright remarkable, per FTNDaily’s Splits tool:
Yes, you are seeing that correctly. Joe Burrow averages nearly 100 more passing yards per game at home than he does on the road. The splits speak for themselves and the 1.25x multiplier only increases my appeal in Burrow this weekend.
Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots (@ BUF)
Score multiplier: 1.2x
With the weather conditions in Buffalo catering toward a ground-and-pound game, Damien Harris fits the bill as a running back that I want to take advantage of. Not only did he pile up over 100 yards on only 10 carries with a touchdown in the last game these teams met, but the Bills run defense may be one of the more overrated units in the league. In the regular season, they allowed the fifth-most rushing touchdowns (10) and given Harris’ red-zone usage, this is a massive plus. Given New England’s willingness to take the ball out of their quarterback’s hands when necessary, we could see another dose of heavy usage for the backfield, with Harris being the priority play.
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Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. PHI)
Score multiplier: 1.15x
With both Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown out of the picture for the Buccaneers’ playoff run, it’ll be up to the formidable duo of Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski to produce with quarterback Tom Brady. From a betting angle, FTN’s Matt Freedman is all over Gronkowski given the expected increase in target share and the Eagles’ defensive struggles with tight ends this season:
Because of the lack of options at the position this weekend, Gronkowski could profile as a player that should have no multiplier at all, making the 1.15x multiplier a nice bonus for a player with a massive ceiling.
