Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
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By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots who could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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Similar to what has been provided in past weeks, here are three plays I will anchor my SuperDraft DFS lineups around. While there are typically five plays, I will provide three plays per week and add an “others to consider” section full of the players who round out the vast majority of my player pool.
This gives you the ability to lock in the key three and fill in around it. Below are my top three options for the Conference Championship weekend slate.
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Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. CIN)
Score multiplier: 1x
Base multipliers are never attractive on SuperDraft, but when it’s Patrick Mahomes, it doesn’t matter. He’s averaged over 390 passing yards and nearly 50 rushing yards per game through two playoff games so far with nine total touchdowns (eight passing, one rushing) as he heads into the biggest game of the season.
Mahomes had a bit of a down game in his last game against Cincinnati, going 26 of 35 for 259 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Averaging only 7.4 yards per attempt in that game, Mahomes has quickly upped that to over nine passing yards per attempt in the postseason. He’s topped 40 SuperDraft points in back-to-back weeks without a multiplier, which is a ceiling that you aim for with the players who do have multipliers. If that doesn’t show you that Mahomes easily carries the highest floor/ceiling combination on the slate, then I don’t know what will.
Cam Akers, RB, Los Angeles Rams (vs. SF)
Score multiplier: 1.4x
There’s no doubt about it, this is one of the worst possible matchups that you can ask for as a running back. With that said, we have a two-game slate with a difficult group of running backs to navigate. With his 1.4x score multiplier, Cam Akers stands out despite the matchup based on his volume alone.
Having played over 80% of the snaps last week and logging over 25 touches, I’m OK overlooking the disappointing production, as there’s only one running back (Joe Mixon) likely to rival Akers’ workload on the slate. Considering that the score multiplier (1.4x) for Akers is far more generous than his peers at his position, Akers is a sheer volume play on the two-game slate that we can hope falls into the end-zone, but a volume play that I am comfortable taking a flyer on.
Byron Pringle, WR, Kansas City Chiefs (vs. CIN)
Score multiplier: 1.65x
Byron Pringle is going to carry some ownership on this slate with a 1.65x multiplier, but he’s easily the wideout that we should feel the most comfortable with in this range.
Derek Brown pointed out just how involved Pringle has been this postseason in his game-by-game breakdown, and his trio of touchdowns prove that exact point:
“In the green zone, Pringle has become a trusted weapon for Mahomes, leading the team with a 50% end-zone target share and 28% red-zone target share in the postseason. Hilton has allowed a 70.7% catch rate and 95.5 passer rating.”
