Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
One of the best parts of the Super Bowl is the sheer number of props involved with the game. Included in those are the cross-sport props in almost every sport that will be played that weekend. The key when trying to play these potential bets is deciding if there’s value and if you can find an edge.
The books put out so many potential wagers that there’s no way they get all of them correct. Let’s take a look at Caesars Sportsbook and see if there’s any plays I like.
Super Bowl LVIII Cross-Sport Props
Brock Purdy Yards of First Rush +0.5 (-110) vs. Keshon Gilbert Assists vs. TCU Saturday -0.5 (-120)
Brock Purdy isn’t exactly Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen, but last game he ripped off a pair of 21-yard rushes to go along with a 10-yard one. Kansas City allowed 20.1 yards rushing per game to signal callers on an average of 5.4 carries. Keshon Gilbert is averaging four assists per game and has not gone over that number since Jan. 13, when he had five vs. Oklahoma State. The worry for this wager is the QB sneak or the kneel down, but I think the Chiefs pass rush will flush him from the pocket allowing him to break for at least six yards. Give me Purdy for this one.
Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards -2.5 (-115) vs. Rutgers points vs. Wisconsin Saturday +2.5 (-115)
Rutgers has one of the worst offenses in college basketball, averaging just 66.4 points per game overall and 68.4 at home. The Scarlet Knights are 350th in 2pt%, 351st in 3pt% and 334th in FT% overall. They’ve scored 46, 60, 87, 66 and 59 in their last five home contests. Wisconsin comes to Piscataway having held Minnesota to 59, Ohio State to 60 and Michigan State to 57 away from home. Isiah Pacheco is averaging almost 85 rushing yards per game this postseason and should be able to find some success against the 49ers, who have allowed 142.3 rushing yards per game over their last three contests. If I’m Andy Reid, I hand the ball off to the running back and let him go to work. Pacheco should approach 80 yards, which would win this bet, because Rutgers likely won’t be able to get to 70.
Dre Greenlaw Solo + Assisted Tackles -1.5 (-140) vs. Arkansas 3 pointers vs. Georgia Saturday +1.5 (+110)
Greenlaw has been the picture of consistency lately, with at least eight total tackles in 11 of his 16 games. With all of the short passes and predicted runs that KC will have, he will be pretty active, which means I’m predicting 8-12 tackles. Arkansas is averaging just six threes per game this season and 3.7 over their last three games. They are also averaging just 12.7 attempts over that span as well. The Bulldogs are allowing just 7.5 threes per game, and the reason for the low number is because SEC teams are shooting 56.4% from two-point land. I don’t love the price here, but I just think Greenlaw will be busy Sunday.
